DER JAHRHUNDERTFEHLER!?

Der Spiegel hat es durchschaut: ohne die Pleite der Lehman-Brothers gäbe es keine Wirtschaftskrise.

Diese Ansicht darf bezweifelt werden, hier von Stanford-Professor John Taylor im Wall Street Journal. Die Daten zeigen, dass die Lehman-Pleite wesentlich weniger ausgewirkt hat, als beispielsweise das Rettungspaket TARP:

Many have argued that the reason for this bad turn was the government’s decision not to prevent the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers over the weekend of Sept. 13 and 14. A study of this event suggests that the answer is more complicated and lay elsewhere.

While interest rate spreads increased slightly on Monday, Sept. 15, they stayed in the range observed during the previous year, and remained in that range through the rest of the week. On Friday, Sept. 19, the Treasury announced a rescue package, though not its size or the details. Over the weekend the package was put together, and on Tuesday, Sept. 23, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson testified before the Senate Banking Committee. They introduced the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), saying that it would be $700 billion in size. A short draft of legislation was provided, with no mention of oversight and few restrictions on the use of the funds.

The two men were questioned intensely and the reaction was quite negative, judging by the large volume of critical mail received by many members of Congress. It was following this testimony that one really begins to see the crisis deepening and interest rate spreads widening.

Abgesehen davon, was ist nach der Lehman-Insolvenz eigentlich genau passiert? Dieses Wissen findet sich sogar mittlerweile in der Wikipedia:

Am 17. September 2008 gab die britische Universalbank Barclays bekannt, dass sie große Teile des US-Geschäfts von Lehman Brothers, einschließlich der gesamten Infrastruktur mit 9000 Mitarbeitern und den Hauptsitz in New York, aus der Insolvenzmasse heraus übernehmen werde. Japans größtes Brokerhaus, Nomura Holdings, kaufte am 22. September das Asiengeschäft sowie die Investmentbanksparte von Lehman Brothers in Europa und im Nahen Osten.